Main Street Capital Stock Performance

MAIN Stock  USD 59.44  1.45  2.38%   
Main Street has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.67, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Main Street's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Main Street is expected to be smaller as well. Main Street Capital right now secures a risk of 1.36%. Please verify Main Street Capital downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if Main Street Capital will be following its current price movements.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Main Street Capital are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unsteady forward indicators, Main Street may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.38)
Five Day Return
(1.31)
Year To Date Return
(3.74)
Ten Year Return
110.93
All Time Return
296.27
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0709
Payout Ratio
0.3167
Forward Dividend Rate
4.32
Dividend Date
2026-03-13
Ex Dividend Date
2026-03-06
1
Main Street invests 27.2 million in The Nearshore Company By Investing.com - Investing.com
11/19/2025
2
Main Street Capital widens gains to seventh session - MSN
12/12/2025
 
Main Street dividend paid on 15th of December 2025
12/15/2025
 
Main Street dividend paid on 29th of December 2025
12/29/2025
3
Main Street Announces Fourth Quarter 2025 Private Loan Portfolio Activity
01/08/2026
 
Main Street dividend paid on 15th of January 2026
01/15/2026
4
How Strong Preliminary Income Metrics at Main Street Capital Have Changed Its Investment Story
01/23/2026
5
Target 20 Buy This High Yielder While Its Cheap
01/26/2026
6
Main Street Capital Declines More Than Market Some Information for Investors - Yahoo Finance
01/30/2026
7
Will MAINs Growing Monthly Dividends and Supplementals Redefine Main Street Capitals Income Narrative
02/03/2026
8
Is It Time To Reassess Main Street Capital After The Recent Share Price Pullback
02/06/2026
9
Main Street Announces Increase in Commitments Under its Corporate Credit Facility to 1.175 Billion
02/10/2026
 
Main Street dividend paid on 13th of February 2026
02/13/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow60.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-418.9 M
Free Cash Flow-87.1 M

Main Street Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,611  in Main Street Capital on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  333.00  from holding Main Street Capital or generate 5.93% return on investment over 90 days. Main Street Capital is currently generating 0.1037% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.3636% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than Main, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Main Street is expected to generate 1.77 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.77 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Main Street Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Main Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 59.44 90 days 59.44 
about 60.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Main Street to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 60.13 (This Main Street Capital probability density function shows the probability of Main Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Main Street has a beta of 0.67. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Main Street average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Main Street Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Main Street Capital has an alpha of 0.0048, implying that it can generate a 0.004833 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Main Street Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Main Street

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Main Street Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.0559.4160.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.5061.4362.79
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
57.7263.4370.41
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.951.001.04
Details

Main Street Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Main Street is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Main Street's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Main Street Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Main Street within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.67
σ
Overall volatility
2.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Main Street Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Main Street for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Main Street Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Main Street Capital currently holds 2.12 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.0, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Main Street Capital has a current ratio of 0.41, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Main Street's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Main Street Capital currently holds about 43.38 M in cash with (87.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.59.
Main Street Capital has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 13th of February 2026 Main Street paid $ 0.26 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Main Street Capital Extends Portfolio Support While Shares Track Fair Value

Main Street Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Main Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Main Street's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Main Street's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding88.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments78.3 M

Main Street Fundamentals Growth

Main Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Main Street, and Main Street fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Main Stock performance.

About Main Street Performance

By examining Main Street's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Main Street's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Main Street is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.11  0.08 
Return On Capital Employed 0.10  0.05 
Return On Assets 0.11  0.08 
Return On Equity 0.21  0.14 

Things to note about Main Street Capital performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Main Street for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Main Street Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Main Street Capital currently holds 2.12 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.0, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Main Street Capital has a current ratio of 0.41, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Main Street's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Main Street Capital currently holds about 43.38 M in cash with (87.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.59.
Main Street Capital has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 13th of February 2026 Main Street paid $ 0.26 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Main Street Capital Extends Portfolio Support While Shares Track Fair Value
Evaluating Main Street's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Main Street's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Main Street's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Main Street's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Main Street's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Main Street's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Main Street's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Main Street's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Main Street's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Main Street's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Main Street's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Main Street Capital offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Main Street's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Main Street Capital Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Main Street Capital Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Main Street Capital. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Will Asset Management & Custody Banks sector continue expanding? Could Main diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Main Street. Expected growth trajectory for Main significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Main Street data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
Dividend Share
3
Earnings Share
5.9
Revenue Per Share
6.306
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.022
Main Street Capital's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Main's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Main Street's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Main Street's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Main Street's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Main Street represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Main Street's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.